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Century Financial Consultancy

محفظة استثمارية متنوعة

انقر على المعيار المحدد على المؤشر للتعرف على استراتيجيات التداول المتحفظة، المعتدلة والمغامرة.

توزيع الأصول
10%
الأسهم
10%
المؤشرات
10%
العملات الأجنبية
20%
السلع
50%
السندات
ملاحظة: هذا لأغراض التوضيح فقط وليس هناك أي التزام بقبول توزيع الأصول التي توفرها هذه الأداة. مزيج المحفظة ليس نصيحة استثمارية ولا اقتراحًا بشأن تخصيص الأصول ليتم اعتماده من قبل المستثمرين.
أسواق تداول
الوصف
الاتجاه
نطاق التداول
equites
Micron
Trend
Range $337-$537
Micron enters 2026 with a continuing constricted memory market, a situation that both Samsung and SK Hynix have highlighted will extend into at least 2027. In the first quarter of 2026, the rapid pace of hyperscaler HBM adoption is expected to cause a 40 to 60% industry-wide price increase for HBM and DRAM products, enabling Micron to achieve its full allocated HBM4 output and secure higher contract pricing. In the second quarter, wafer start limitations and the three times higher wafer intensity of HBM products are expected to continue causing supply to remain constricted, driving margins toward Micron's potential record levels. All three major memory manufacturers are expected to be sold out by Q3, and the $300 billion-plus annual AI capital expenditures are expected to cause spot markets to transition to long-duration contracts, providing Micron with a consistent revenue stream, month to month. The result could be sustained pricing power and revenue growth driven by an HBM market. Moreover, the supply situation is expected to remain structurally tight in early 2027, which will provide a long term support for the stock.
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Applied Materials Inc
Trend
Range $300 - $372
AMAT has broken above a long standing ascending channel on the weekly chart and is currently trading at all-time highs. This breakout suggets that the stock has shifted to a stronger momentum regime, with previous resistance now acting as support and the trend favouring continuation. The momentum is backed by rock-solid fundamentals. AI demand is pushing foundries to spend aggressively at the leading edge, particularly on sub-2nm tech. TSMC and Intel are expected to account for a large part of incremental capex. Ex-China spending is growing at a healthier pace. There is also a clear pickup in wafer fab equipment spending across the US, Taiwan and Japan. WFE spending is expected to grow 13% in 2026 and another 12% in 2027, lifting the market to roughly $134bn next year. Memory adds another layer of support. DRAM revenues make up 29% of AMAT's revenue and is also expected to rise as AI demand moves through the memory stack.
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indices
DAX 40–Cash
Trend
Range EUR 23,010 -
EUR 25,610
The DAX rose approximately 23% through 2025. It has performed better than major European peers and hit record highs into early 2026 at EUR 25,507. For January 2026, the index is up almost 1.4% with industrials (20% weight) and financial services (11% weight) driving gains. This is being fuelled by defence procurement surges, fiscal expansion and corporate earnings beats. Germany’s Bundesbank forecasts modest 2026 GDP growth of 0.6%. The economic think tank Ifo has it at 0.8%, showing a gradual recovery from investment stimulus and export stabilisation. Also, easing energy costs and policy support can subdue near-term headwinds. Inflation is expected to hover at 2.2% in 2026. With DAX firms' heavy export orientation and a tailwind from the EU-India free trade agreement, the index is well positioned for possible upside. EU goods exports to India are expected to double by 2032. This includes luxury European automobiles (250,000 vehicles annually at preferential duty rates), industrial and consumer goods.
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US Nasdaq 100
Trend
Range $24,140 -
$27,020
The last month saw the first FOMC meeting of the year, which kept interest rates unchanged as expected, with Powell citing an improving economic outlook, stable labour market conditions, and easing but still elevated inflation. All in all, this did nothing to disturb the existing bullish structure in US equity indices. The month also saw VIX spike to multi-month highs due to Trump’s aggressive push for control over Greenland via tariffs on European trading partners; however, the sentiment quickly turned around after he announced a deal framework, and the TACO trade unfolded with the VIX falling sharply. Despite mixed quarterly results from mega-cap tech earnings, recent upbeat US Q3 GDP data helped keep investor sentiment high. From a technical perspective, the 21-SMA on the weekly chart, along with a long-term upward sloping trendline, can provide close potential support around the $25,125 level, while further upside is possible above all-time high levels, which are about 2.5% away from current levels.
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forex
EURUSD
Trend
Range 1.174 - 1.234
From a technical standpoint, EURUSD has broken the trendline resistance connecting the highs of 4th January 2021 (1.234), 24th May 2021 (1.226), 30th June 2025 (1.183), 22nd September 2025 (1.182) and 22nd December 2025 (1.181), supporting a bullish stance in the month ahead. Bullish EMA crossovers between the 21- and 50-Day EMA can be witnessed as well. Furthermore, the dollar index is breaking down from a multi-year trendline. From a fundamental stance, Germany, the Eurozone’s largest economy, clocked its services reading for January, far better than forecast, with the manufacturing economy also showing a remarkable improvement from December. The country’s composite PMI clocked a 3-month high of 52.5 from December’s 51.3. Eurozone private-sector activity followed a similar pattern, expanding for the eighth consecutive month, prompting analysts to question whether inflation would make an unexpected comeback in Q12026.
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commodities
Copper - Cash
Trend
Range $521 - $782
Copper has rallied 43% in 2025, driven by a weaker US dollar, rising demand for real assets, and rising geopolitical tensions. Further, speculation that the next Fed chair could be more dovish than Jerome Powell has added momentum. Long-term growth themes, particularly electrification, AI, and robotics, are expected to provide tailwinds for the red metal. It is estimated that hyperscalers will invest around $500 billion in AI Capex in 2026. As of 2025, the Copper market was in a slight surplus, with demand at 26.4 million tons and supply at 27.2 million tons (a 3% surplus). In 2026, however, the dynamics are expected to flip, as the market enters a deficit: demand is expected at 27.8 million tons and supply at 27.7 million tons (0.36% deficit). And looking ahead, this Deficit is expected to grow to about 4 million tons, or about 12%, by 2030. Further, Chinese property developers stopped filing reports on the 3 red lines, which is expected to stabilise the property market and with it, copper demand.
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WTI Crude Oil - April 2026
Trend
Range $58.3 - $71.2
WTI fell 20% in 2025 due to concerns of oversupply from OPEC+ and non-OPEC producers and decreased overall global demand. However, prices have rallied 13% in January 2026. Rising geopolitical tensions from Iran to Venezuela and major supply disruption in Kazakhstan have helped to bolster prices. Trump’s latest threats have injected a $3 to $4 risk premium into prices. Bullish call options have been more expensive than bearish puts for the longest stretch in about 14 months, as traders seek to protect against a potential U.S. – Iran conflict. Bullish option additions have also grown at the fastest pace in at least six years. A U.S. strike could disturb crude flows from the Middle East, a region that accounts for about a third of global supply. Iranian retaliation could also extend to disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Further, OPEC+ is set to continue with the supply pause despite oil prices rallying.
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Gold
Trend
Range $4770 - $5500
Gold has given stellar returns of approximately 29.31% in January. The increase can be attributed to growing geopolitical uncertainties. The month began with attacks on Venezuela, followed by friction between the USA and Europe over Greenland. Soon, uncertainty resurfaced in the Middle East. Trump has warned Iran that a physical intervention is possible if it does not comply with US demands regarding its nuclear program. In addition, a partial shutdown of the US Government would further support Gold. Lastly, Central banks continue to add gold in their reserves. Around 755 tonnes of Central bank purchases are expected in 2026, which is higher than pre 2022 averages, which are closer to 400-500 tonnes. The coming month may pose more such uncertainties, leading to fundamental support for gold prices. However, investors should be prepared for volatility in Gold as implied volatility for the Gold ETF (GLD) stands at 39%, a level last seen in 2011.
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Data Source: Bloomberg
Date: 1st February, 2026

Arun Leslie John
Chief Market Analyst

Deepa Sachanandani
Deputy Head - Research

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DISCLAIMER: Century Financial Consultancy LLC (“CFC”) is Limited Liability Company incorporated under the Laws of UAE and is duly licensed and regulated by the Emirates Securities and Commodities Authority of UAE (SCA). This information is for illustrative proposes only and must not be construed to be an advice to invest or otherwise in any investment or financial product. CFC does not guarantee as to adequacy, accuracy, completeness or reliability of any information or data contained herein and under no circumstances whatsoever none of such information or data be construed as an advice or trading strategy or recommendation to deal (Buy/Sell) in any investment or financial product. CFC is not responsible or liable for any result, gain or loss, based on this information, in whole or in part. Please refer to the disclaimer section of the website for full disclosure of the terms and conditions.
Risks & Assumptions
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The strategy might suffer from look-ahead bias which occurs due to use of information or data in a study or simulation that would not have been known or available during the period being analyzed. This can lead to inaccurate results in the study or simulation.
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Future price movements may not be exactly the same as the historical price movements and this could lead to variation in performance.
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Testing can sometimes lead to over-optimization. This is a condition where performance results are tuned so high to the past they are no longer as accurate in the future.
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The model assumes no slippages in trading. Slippage refers to the difference between the expected price of a trade and the price at which the trade is actually executed.
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Drawdowns in actual trading can be higher than the tested system and loses could significant in the event of leverage.
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Unforeseen events can lead to variation in performance from the tested trading strategy.
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The tested result has been computed with price feeds available from Bloomberg.
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The testing environment has not considered transaction or any other costs.
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Trading indicators used for the purpose of testing has been provided by Bloomberg.
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The strategy might suffer from data mining fallacy, selection bias and backfill bias.